Correlation Between Permanent Portfolio and Precious Metals

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Permanent Portfolio and Precious Metals at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Permanent Portfolio and Precious Metals into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Permanent Portfolio Class and Precious Metals And, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Permanent Portfolio and Precious Metals and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Permanent Portfolio with a short position of Precious Metals. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Permanent Portfolio and Precious Metals.

Diversification Opportunities for Permanent Portfolio and Precious Metals

0.83
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Permanent and Precious is 0.83. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Permanent Portfolio Class and Precious Metals And in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Precious Metals And and Permanent Portfolio is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Permanent Portfolio Class are associated (or correlated) with Precious Metals. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Precious Metals And has no effect on the direction of Permanent Portfolio i.e., Permanent Portfolio and Precious Metals go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Permanent Portfolio and Precious Metals

Assuming the 90 days horizon Permanent Portfolio is expected to generate 6.32 times less return on investment than Precious Metals. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Permanent Portfolio Class is 2.31 times less risky than Precious Metals. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Precious Metals And is currently generating about 0.36 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,920  in Precious Metals And on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  719.00  from holding Precious Metals And or generate 37.45% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Permanent Portfolio Class  vs.  Precious Metals And

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Permanent Portfolio Class 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Permanent Portfolio Class are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong technical indicators, Permanent Portfolio is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Precious Metals And 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Strong

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Precious Metals And are ranked lower than 28 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak primary indicators, Precious Metals showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Permanent Portfolio and Precious Metals Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Permanent Portfolio and Precious Metals

The main advantage of trading using opposite Permanent Portfolio and Precious Metals positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Permanent Portfolio position performs unexpectedly, Precious Metals can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Precious Metals will offset losses from the drop in Precious Metals' long position.
The idea behind Permanent Portfolio Class and Precious Metals And pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

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