Correlation Between Plumas Bancorp and First Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Plumas Bancorp and First Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Plumas Bancorp and First Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Plumas Bancorp and First Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Plumas Bancorp and First Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Plumas Bancorp with a short position of First Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Plumas Bancorp and First Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for Plumas Bancorp and First Bancorp

0.78
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Plumas and First is 0.78. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Plumas Bancorp and First Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Bancorp and Plumas Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Plumas Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with First Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Plumas Bancorp i.e., Plumas Bancorp and First Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Plumas Bancorp and First Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Plumas Bancorp is expected to under-perform the First Bancorp. In addition to that, Plumas Bancorp is 1.5 times more volatile than First Bancorp. It trades about -0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. First Bancorp is currently generating about -0.06 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,658  in First Bancorp on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (143.00) from holding First Bancorp or give up 5.38% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Plumas Bancorp  vs.  First Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Plumas Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Plumas Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest unsteady performance, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for the firm shareholders.
First Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days First Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound essential indicators, First Bancorp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Plumas Bancorp and First Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Plumas Bancorp and First Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite Plumas Bancorp and First Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Plumas Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, First Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in First Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind Plumas Bancorp and First Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

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