Correlation Between Penn National and Federated Municipal

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Penn National and Federated Municipal at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Penn National and Federated Municipal into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Penn National Gaming and Federated Municipal Ultrashort, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Penn National and Federated Municipal and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Penn National with a short position of Federated Municipal. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Penn National and Federated Municipal.

Diversification Opportunities for Penn National and Federated Municipal

0.35
  Correlation Coefficient

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Penn and Federated is 0.35. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Penn National Gaming and Federated Municipal Ultrashort in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Federated Municipal and Penn National is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Penn National Gaming are associated (or correlated) with Federated Municipal. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Federated Municipal has no effect on the direction of Penn National i.e., Penn National and Federated Municipal go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Penn National and Federated Municipal

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Penn National Gaming is expected to under-perform the Federated Municipal. In addition to that, Penn National is 49.97 times more volatile than Federated Municipal Ultrashort. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Federated Municipal Ultrashort is currently generating about 0.22 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  959.00  in Federated Municipal Ultrashort on October 8, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  41.00  from holding Federated Municipal Ultrashort or generate 4.28% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Penn National Gaming  vs.  Federated Municipal Ultrashort

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Penn National Gaming 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Penn National Gaming are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very fragile basic indicators, Penn National may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2025.
Federated Municipal 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Federated Municipal Ultrashort are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Federated Municipal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Penn National and Federated Municipal Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Penn National and Federated Municipal

The main advantage of trading using opposite Penn National and Federated Municipal positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Penn National position performs unexpectedly, Federated Municipal can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Federated Municipal will offset losses from the drop in Federated Municipal's long position.
The idea behind Penn National Gaming and Federated Municipal Ultrashort pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

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