Correlation Between Penn National and Cerence

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Penn National and Cerence at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Penn National and Cerence into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Penn National Gaming and Cerence, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Penn National and Cerence and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Penn National with a short position of Cerence. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Penn National and Cerence.

Diversification Opportunities for Penn National and Cerence

-0.19
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Penn and Cerence is -0.19. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Penn National Gaming and Cerence in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Cerence and Penn National is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Penn National Gaming are associated (or correlated) with Cerence. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Cerence has no effect on the direction of Penn National i.e., Penn National and Cerence go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Penn National and Cerence

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Penn National is expected to generate 9.8 times less return on investment than Cerence. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Penn National Gaming is 11.14 times less risky than Cerence. It trades about 0.19 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Cerence is currently generating about 0.16 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  782.00  in Cerence on October 22, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  476.00  from holding Cerence or generate 60.87% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Penn National Gaming  vs.  Cerence

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Penn National Gaming 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Penn National Gaming are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very fragile basic indicators, Penn National may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2025.
Cerence 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

13 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cerence are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather uncertain basic indicators, Cerence exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Penn National and Cerence Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Penn National and Cerence

The main advantage of trading using opposite Penn National and Cerence positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Penn National position performs unexpectedly, Cerence can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cerence will offset losses from the drop in Cerence's long position.
The idea behind Penn National Gaming and Cerence pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.

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