Correlation Between Penn National and Merck

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Penn National and Merck at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Penn National and Merck into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Penn National Gaming and Merck Co, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Penn National and Merck and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Penn National with a short position of Merck. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Penn National and Merck.

Diversification Opportunities for Penn National and Merck

-0.32
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Penn and Merck is -0.32. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Penn National Gaming and Merck Co in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Merck and Penn National is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Penn National Gaming are associated (or correlated) with Merck. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Merck has no effect on the direction of Penn National i.e., Penn National and Merck go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Penn National and Merck

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Penn National Gaming is expected to generate 1.55 times more return on investment than Merck. However, Penn National is 1.55 times more volatile than Merck Co. It trades about -0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Merck Co is currently generating about -0.06 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,862  in Penn National Gaming on December 20, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (122.00) from holding Penn National Gaming or give up 6.55% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Penn National Gaming  vs.  Merck Co

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Penn National Gaming 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Penn National Gaming has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Penn National is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Merck 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Merck Co has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest fragile performance, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain healthy and the recent disarray on Wall Street may also be a sign of long period gains for the firm investors.

Penn National and Merck Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Penn National and Merck

The main advantage of trading using opposite Penn National and Merck positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Penn National position performs unexpectedly, Merck can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Merck will offset losses from the drop in Merck's long position.
The idea behind Penn National Gaming and Merck Co pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.

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