Correlation Between PACCAR and American Axle

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both PACCAR and American Axle at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining PACCAR and American Axle into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between PACCAR Inc and American Axle Manufacturing, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on PACCAR and American Axle and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in PACCAR with a short position of American Axle. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of PACCAR and American Axle.

Diversification Opportunities for PACCAR and American Axle

0.73
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between PACCAR and American is 0.73. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding PACCAR Inc and American Axle Manufacturing in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on American Axle Manufa and PACCAR is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on PACCAR Inc are associated (or correlated) with American Axle. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of American Axle Manufa has no effect on the direction of PACCAR i.e., PACCAR and American Axle go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between PACCAR and American Axle

Given the investment horizon of 90 days PACCAR Inc is expected to generate 0.56 times more return on investment than American Axle. However, PACCAR Inc is 1.78 times less risky than American Axle. It trades about -0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. American Axle Manufacturing is currently generating about -0.06 per unit of risk. If you would invest  11,038  in PACCAR Inc on September 20, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (287.00) from holding PACCAR Inc or give up 2.6% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

PACCAR Inc  vs.  American Axle Manufacturing

 Performance 
       Timeline  
PACCAR Inc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in PACCAR Inc are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively abnormal basic indicators, PACCAR may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
American Axle Manufa 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Over the last 90 days American Axle Manufacturing has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent basic indicators, American Axle is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.

PACCAR and American Axle Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with PACCAR and American Axle

The main advantage of trading using opposite PACCAR and American Axle positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if PACCAR position performs unexpectedly, American Axle can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in American Axle will offset losses from the drop in American Axle's long position.
The idea behind PACCAR Inc and American Axle Manufacturing pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

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