Correlation Between Petrleo Brasileiro and TotalEnergies

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Petrleo Brasileiro and TotalEnergies at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Petrleo Brasileiro and TotalEnergies into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Petrleo Brasileiro SA and TotalEnergies SE, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Petrleo Brasileiro and TotalEnergies and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Petrleo Brasileiro with a short position of TotalEnergies. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Petrleo Brasileiro and TotalEnergies.

Diversification Opportunities for Petrleo Brasileiro and TotalEnergies

0.2
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between Petrleo and TotalEnergies is 0.2. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Petrleo Brasileiro SA and TotalEnergies SE in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on TotalEnergies SE and Petrleo Brasileiro is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Petrleo Brasileiro SA are associated (or correlated) with TotalEnergies. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of TotalEnergies SE has no effect on the direction of Petrleo Brasileiro i.e., Petrleo Brasileiro and TotalEnergies go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Petrleo Brasileiro and TotalEnergies

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Petrleo Brasileiro SA is expected to generate 0.65 times more return on investment than TotalEnergies. However, Petrleo Brasileiro SA is 1.53 times less risky than TotalEnergies. It trades about -0.35 of its potential returns per unit of risk. TotalEnergies SE is currently generating about -0.23 per unit of risk. If you would invest  29,455  in Petrleo Brasileiro SA on September 23, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (3,255) from holding Petrleo Brasileiro SA or give up 11.05% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy95.24%
ValuesDaily Returns

Petrleo Brasileiro SA  vs.  TotalEnergies SE

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Petrleo Brasileiro 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Petrleo Brasileiro SA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Petrleo Brasileiro is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
TotalEnergies SE 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days TotalEnergies SE has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.

Petrleo Brasileiro and TotalEnergies Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Petrleo Brasileiro and TotalEnergies

The main advantage of trading using opposite Petrleo Brasileiro and TotalEnergies positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Petrleo Brasileiro position performs unexpectedly, TotalEnergies can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in TotalEnergies will offset losses from the drop in TotalEnergies' long position.
The idea behind Petrleo Brasileiro SA and TotalEnergies SE pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

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