Correlation Between Prosperity Bancshares and Old National

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Prosperity Bancshares and Old National at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Prosperity Bancshares and Old National into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Prosperity Bancshares and Old National Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Prosperity Bancshares and Old National and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Prosperity Bancshares with a short position of Old National. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Prosperity Bancshares and Old National.

Diversification Opportunities for Prosperity Bancshares and Old National

ProsperityOldDiversified AwayProsperityOldDiversified Away100%
0.62
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Prosperity and Old is 0.62. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Prosperity Bancshares and Old National Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Old National Bancorp and Prosperity Bancshares is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Prosperity Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with Old National. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Old National Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Prosperity Bancshares i.e., Prosperity Bancshares and Old National go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Prosperity Bancshares and Old National

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Prosperity Bancshares is expected to generate 0.68 times more return on investment than Old National. However, Prosperity Bancshares is 1.46 times less risky than Old National. It trades about -0.46 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Old National Bancorp is currently generating about -0.38 per unit of risk. If you would invest  8,069  in Prosperity Bancshares on December 8, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (789.00) from holding Prosperity Bancshares or give up 9.78% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy95.45%
ValuesDaily Returns

Prosperity Bancshares  vs.  Old National Bancorp

 Performance 
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Dec2025Feb -10-505
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15PB ONB
       Timeline  
Prosperity Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Prosperity Bancshares has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest fragile performance, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors.
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15JanFebMarFebMar727476788082
Old National Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Old National Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, Old National is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15JanFebMarFebMar20.52121.52222.52323.52424.5

Prosperity Bancshares and Old National Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15-2.16-1.66-1.16-0.66-0.160.270.771.271.77 0.100.150.200.25
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15PB ONB
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Prosperity Bancshares and Old National

The main advantage of trading using opposite Prosperity Bancshares and Old National positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Prosperity Bancshares position performs unexpectedly, Old National can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Old National will offset losses from the drop in Old National's long position.
The idea behind Prosperity Bancshares and Old National Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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