Correlation Between Prosperity Bancshares and First Merchants

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Prosperity Bancshares and First Merchants at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Prosperity Bancshares and First Merchants into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Prosperity Bancshares and First Merchants, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Prosperity Bancshares and First Merchants and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Prosperity Bancshares with a short position of First Merchants. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Prosperity Bancshares and First Merchants.

Diversification Opportunities for Prosperity Bancshares and First Merchants

0.07

Correlation Coefficient

Prosperity Bancshares  First Merchants

Significant diversification

The 3 months correlation between Prosperity and First is 0.07. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Prosperity Bancshares and First Merchants in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Merchants and Prosperity Bancshares is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Prosperity Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with First Merchants. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Merchants has no effect on the direction of Prosperity Bancshares i.e., Prosperity Bancshares and First Merchants go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Prosperity Bancshares and First Merchants

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Prosperity Bancshares is expected to under-perform the First Merchants. In addition to that, Prosperity Bancshares is 1.43 times more volatile than First Merchants. It trades about -0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. First Merchants is currently generating about 0.02 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,517  in First Merchants on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  19.00  from holding First Merchants or generate 0.75% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Insignificant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Prosperity Bancshares  vs.  First Merchants

Prosperity Bancshares

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Prosperity Bancshares has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong fundamental drivers, Prosperity Bancshares is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

First Merchants

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Merchants are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively invariable technical and fundamental indicators, First Merchants is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.

Pair Trading with Prosperity Bancshares and First Merchants

The main advantage of trading using opposite Prosperity Bancshares and First Merchants positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Prosperity Bancshares position performs unexpectedly, First Merchants can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Merchants will offset losses from the drop in First Merchants' long position.

The idea behind Prosperity Bancshares and First Merchants pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.