Correlation Between Prosperity Bancshares and BancFirst

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Prosperity Bancshares and BancFirst at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Prosperity Bancshares and BancFirst into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Prosperity Bancshares and BancFirst, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Prosperity Bancshares and BancFirst and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Prosperity Bancshares with a short position of BancFirst. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Prosperity Bancshares and BancFirst.

Diversification Opportunities for Prosperity Bancshares and BancFirst

0.91
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Prosperity and BancFirst is 0.91. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Prosperity Bancshares and BancFirst in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on BancFirst and Prosperity Bancshares is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Prosperity Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with BancFirst. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of BancFirst has no effect on the direction of Prosperity Bancshares i.e., Prosperity Bancshares and BancFirst go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Prosperity Bancshares and BancFirst

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Prosperity Bancshares is expected to generate 0.83 times more return on investment than BancFirst. However, Prosperity Bancshares is 1.2 times less risky than BancFirst. It trades about -0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. BancFirst is currently generating about -0.08 per unit of risk. If you would invest  7,451  in Prosperity Bancshares on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (399.00) from holding Prosperity Bancshares or give up 5.35% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Prosperity Bancshares  vs.  BancFirst

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Prosperity Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Prosperity Bancshares has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong fundamental drivers, Prosperity Bancshares is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
BancFirst 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days BancFirst has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest inconsistent performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders.

Prosperity Bancshares and BancFirst Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Prosperity Bancshares and BancFirst

The main advantage of trading using opposite Prosperity Bancshares and BancFirst positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Prosperity Bancshares position performs unexpectedly, BancFirst can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in BancFirst will offset losses from the drop in BancFirst's long position.
The idea behind Prosperity Bancshares and BancFirst pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

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