Correlation Between Palladium and Natural Gas

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Palladium and Natural Gas at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Palladium and Natural Gas into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Palladium and Natural Gas, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Palladium and Natural Gas and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Palladium with a short position of Natural Gas. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Palladium and Natural Gas.

Diversification Opportunities for Palladium and Natural Gas

-0.24
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Palladium and Natural is -0.24. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Palladium and Natural Gas in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Natural Gas and Palladium is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Palladium are associated (or correlated) with Natural Gas. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Natural Gas has no effect on the direction of Palladium i.e., Palladium and Natural Gas go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Palladium and Natural Gas

Assuming the 90 days horizon Palladium is expected to generate 0.44 times more return on investment than Natural Gas. However, Palladium is 2.26 times less risky than Natural Gas. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Natural Gas is currently generating about 0.03 per unit of risk. If you would invest  90,110  in Palladium on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  8,370  from holding Palladium or generate 9.29% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Palladium  vs.  Natural Gas

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Palladium 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Palladium are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak basic indicators, Palladium may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.
Natural Gas 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Natural Gas are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, Natural Gas may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

Palladium and Natural Gas Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Palladium and Natural Gas

The main advantage of trading using opposite Palladium and Natural Gas positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Palladium position performs unexpectedly, Natural Gas can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Natural Gas will offset losses from the drop in Natural Gas' long position.
The idea behind Palladium and Natural Gas pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.

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