Correlation Between Palladium and Crude Oil

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Palladium and Crude Oil at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Palladium and Crude Oil into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Palladium and Crude Oil, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Palladium and Crude Oil and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Palladium with a short position of Crude Oil. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Palladium and Crude Oil.

Diversification Opportunities for Palladium and Crude Oil

0.14

Correlation Coefficient

Palladium  Crude Oil

Average diversification

The 3 months correlation between Palladium and Crude is 0.14. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Palladium and Crude Oil in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Crude Oil and Palladium is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Palladium are associated (or correlated) with Crude Oil. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Crude Oil has no effect on the direction of Palladium i.e., Palladium and Crude Oil go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Palladium and Crude Oil

Assuming the 90 days horizon Palladium is expected to generate 1.38 times more return on investment than Crude Oil. However, Palladium is 1.38 times more volatile than Crude Oil. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Crude Oil is currently generating about -0.02 per unit of risk. If you would invest  90,110  in Palladium on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  8,370  from holding Palladium or generate 9.29% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Insignificant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Palladium  vs.  Crude Oil

Palladium

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Palladium are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak basic indicators, Palladium may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

Crude Oil

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Crude Oil has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Crude Oil is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Pair Trading with Palladium and Crude Oil

The main advantage of trading using opposite Palladium and Crude Oil positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Palladium position performs unexpectedly, Crude Oil can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Crude Oil will offset losses from the drop in Crude Oil's long position.

The idea behind Palladium and Crude Oil pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.