Correlation Between Par Pacific and Cosan SA

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Par Pacific and Cosan SA at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Par Pacific and Cosan SA into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Par Pacific Holdings and Cosan SA ADR, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Par Pacific and Cosan SA and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Par Pacific with a short position of Cosan SA. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Par Pacific and Cosan SA.

Diversification Opportunities for Par Pacific and Cosan SA

0.54
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Par and Cosan is 0.54. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Par Pacific Holdings and Cosan SA ADR in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Cosan SA ADR and Par Pacific is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Par Pacific Holdings are associated (or correlated) with Cosan SA. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Cosan SA ADR has no effect on the direction of Par Pacific i.e., Par Pacific and Cosan SA go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Par Pacific and Cosan SA

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Par Pacific Holdings is expected to under-perform the Cosan SA. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Par Pacific Holdings is 1.02 times less risky than Cosan SA. The stock trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Cosan SA ADR is currently generating about 0.03 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  538.00  in Cosan SA ADR on December 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  17.00  from holding Cosan SA ADR or generate 3.16% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Par Pacific Holdings  vs.  Cosan SA ADR

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Par Pacific Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Par Pacific Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, Par Pacific is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.
Cosan SA ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cosan SA ADR are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very conflicting basic indicators, Cosan SA may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

Par Pacific and Cosan SA Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Par Pacific and Cosan SA

The main advantage of trading using opposite Par Pacific and Cosan SA positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Par Pacific position performs unexpectedly, Cosan SA can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cosan SA will offset losses from the drop in Cosan SA's long position.
The idea behind Par Pacific Holdings and Cosan SA ADR pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

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