Correlation Between Oak Valley and Middlefield Banc

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Oak Valley and Middlefield Banc at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Oak Valley and Middlefield Banc into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Oak Valley Bancorp and Middlefield Banc, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Oak Valley and Middlefield Banc and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Oak Valley with a short position of Middlefield Banc. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Oak Valley and Middlefield Banc.

Diversification Opportunities for Oak Valley and Middlefield Banc

0.26
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between Oak and Middlefield is 0.26. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Oak Valley Bancorp and Middlefield Banc in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Middlefield Banc and Oak Valley is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Oak Valley Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Middlefield Banc. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Middlefield Banc has no effect on the direction of Oak Valley i.e., Oak Valley and Middlefield Banc go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Oak Valley and Middlefield Banc

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Oak Valley Bancorp is expected to under-perform the Middlefield Banc. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Oak Valley Bancorp is 1.39 times less risky than Middlefield Banc. The stock trades about -0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Middlefield Banc is currently generating about 0.0 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,785  in Middlefield Banc on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (47.00) from holding Middlefield Banc or give up 1.69% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Oak Valley Bancorp  vs.  Middlefield Banc

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Oak Valley Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Oak Valley Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's essential indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.
Middlefield Banc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Middlefield Banc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy fundamental indicators, Middlefield Banc is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Oak Valley and Middlefield Banc Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Oak Valley and Middlefield Banc

The main advantage of trading using opposite Oak Valley and Middlefield Banc positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Oak Valley position performs unexpectedly, Middlefield Banc can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Middlefield Banc will offset losses from the drop in Middlefield Banc's long position.
The idea behind Oak Valley Bancorp and Middlefield Banc pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

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