Correlation Between Oak Valley and First Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Oak Valley and First Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Oak Valley and First Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Oak Valley Bancorp and First Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Oak Valley and First Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Oak Valley with a short position of First Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Oak Valley and First Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for Oak Valley and First Bancorp

0.86
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Oak and First is 0.86. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Oak Valley Bancorp and First Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Bancorp and Oak Valley is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Oak Valley Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with First Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Oak Valley i.e., Oak Valley and First Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Oak Valley and First Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Oak Valley Bancorp is expected to generate 0.81 times more return on investment than First Bancorp. However, Oak Valley Bancorp is 1.23 times less risky than First Bancorp. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Bancorp is currently generating about 0.05 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,589  in Oak Valley Bancorp on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  527.00  from holding Oak Valley Bancorp or generate 20.36% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Oak Valley Bancorp  vs.  First Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Oak Valley Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Oak Valley Bancorp are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly inconsistent essential indicators, Oak Valley showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
First Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Bancorp are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather inconsistent essential indicators, First Bancorp may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Oak Valley and First Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Oak Valley and First Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite Oak Valley and First Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Oak Valley position performs unexpectedly, First Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in First Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind Oak Valley Bancorp and First Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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