Correlation Between Oak Valley and Affinity Bancshares

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Oak Valley and Affinity Bancshares at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Oak Valley and Affinity Bancshares into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Oak Valley Bancorp and Affinity Bancshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Oak Valley and Affinity Bancshares and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Oak Valley with a short position of Affinity Bancshares. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Oak Valley and Affinity Bancshares.

Diversification Opportunities for Oak Valley and Affinity Bancshares

0.21
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between Oak and Affinity is 0.21. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Oak Valley Bancorp and Affinity Bancshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Affinity Bancshares and Oak Valley is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Oak Valley Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Affinity Bancshares. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Affinity Bancshares has no effect on the direction of Oak Valley i.e., Oak Valley and Affinity Bancshares go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Oak Valley and Affinity Bancshares

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Oak Valley Bancorp is expected to under-perform the Affinity Bancshares. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Oak Valley Bancorp is 1.43 times less risky than Affinity Bancshares. The stock trades about -0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Affinity Bancshares is currently generating about -0.06 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,016  in Affinity Bancshares on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (238.00) from holding Affinity Bancshares or give up 11.81% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Oak Valley Bancorp  vs.  Affinity Bancshares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Oak Valley Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Oak Valley Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's essential indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.
Affinity Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Affinity Bancshares has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest weak performance, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain strong and the recent confusion on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-lasting gains for the firm traders.

Oak Valley and Affinity Bancshares Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Oak Valley and Affinity Bancshares

The main advantage of trading using opposite Oak Valley and Affinity Bancshares positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Oak Valley position performs unexpectedly, Affinity Bancshares can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Affinity Bancshares will offset losses from the drop in Affinity Bancshares' long position.
The idea behind Oak Valley Bancorp and Affinity Bancshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

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