Correlation Between Old National and Heritage Commerce

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Old National and Heritage Commerce at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Old National and Heritage Commerce into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Old National Bancorp and Heritage Commerce Corp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Old National and Heritage Commerce and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Old National with a short position of Heritage Commerce. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Old National and Heritage Commerce.

Diversification Opportunities for Old National and Heritage Commerce

0.61
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Old and Heritage is 0.61. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Old National Bancorp and Heritage Commerce Corp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Heritage Commerce Corp and Old National is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Old National Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Heritage Commerce. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Heritage Commerce Corp has no effect on the direction of Old National i.e., Old National and Heritage Commerce go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Old National and Heritage Commerce

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Old National is expected to generate 22.03 times less return on investment than Heritage Commerce. In addition to that, Old National is 1.28 times more volatile than Heritage Commerce Corp. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Heritage Commerce Corp is currently generating about 0.06 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  931.00  in Heritage Commerce Corp on December 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  41.00  from holding Heritage Commerce Corp or generate 4.4% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Old National Bancorp  vs.  Heritage Commerce Corp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Old National Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Old National Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, Old National is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Heritage Commerce Corp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Insignificant

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Heritage Commerce Corp are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite persistent fundamental drivers, Heritage Commerce is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.

Old National and Heritage Commerce Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Old National and Heritage Commerce

The main advantage of trading using opposite Old National and Heritage Commerce positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Old National position performs unexpectedly, Heritage Commerce can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Heritage Commerce will offset losses from the drop in Heritage Commerce's long position.
The idea behind Old National Bancorp and Heritage Commerce Corp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

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