Correlation Between US Treasury and Tidal ETF

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both US Treasury and Tidal ETF at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining US Treasury and Tidal ETF into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between US Treasury 12 and Tidal ETF Trust, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on US Treasury and Tidal ETF and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in US Treasury with a short position of Tidal ETF. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of US Treasury and Tidal ETF.

Diversification Opportunities for US Treasury and Tidal ETF

0.23
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between OBIL and Tidal is 0.23. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding US Treasury 12 and Tidal ETF Trust in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Tidal ETF Trust and US Treasury is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on US Treasury 12 are associated (or correlated) with Tidal ETF. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Tidal ETF Trust has no effect on the direction of US Treasury i.e., US Treasury and Tidal ETF go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between US Treasury and Tidal ETF

Given the investment horizon of 90 days US Treasury is expected to generate 2.84 times less return on investment than Tidal ETF. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, US Treasury 12 is 24.03 times less risky than Tidal ETF. It trades about 0.45 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Tidal ETF Trust is currently generating about 0.05 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,856  in Tidal ETF Trust on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  49.00  from holding Tidal ETF Trust or generate 2.64% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy98.36%
ValuesDaily Returns

US Treasury 12  vs.  Tidal ETF Trust

 Performance 
       Timeline  
US Treasury 12 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Strong

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in US Treasury 12 are ranked lower than 35 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite persistent forward indicators, US Treasury is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.
Tidal ETF Trust 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Insignificant

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Tidal ETF Trust are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, Tidal ETF is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

US Treasury and Tidal ETF Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with US Treasury and Tidal ETF

The main advantage of trading using opposite US Treasury and Tidal ETF positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if US Treasury position performs unexpectedly, Tidal ETF can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Tidal ETF will offset losses from the drop in Tidal ETF's long position.
The idea behind US Treasury 12 and Tidal ETF Trust pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.

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