Correlation Between Northern Small and Vanguard Total

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Northern Small and Vanguard Total at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Northern Small and Vanguard Total into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Northern Small Cap and Vanguard Total Stock, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Northern Small and Vanguard Total and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Northern Small with a short position of Vanguard Total. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Northern Small and Vanguard Total.

Diversification Opportunities for Northern Small and Vanguard Total

0.95

Correlation Coefficient

Northern Small  Vanguard Total

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between NORTHERN and Vanguard is 0.95. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Northern Small Cap and Vanguard Total Stock in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Total Stock and Northern Small is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Northern Small Cap are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Total. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Total Stock has no effect on the direction of Northern Small i.e., Northern Small and Vanguard Total go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Northern Small and Vanguard Total

Assuming the 90 days horizon Northern Small Cap is expected to under-perform the Vanguard Total. In addition to that, Northern Small is 1.16 times more volatile than Vanguard Total Stock. It trades about -0.12 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard Total Stock is currently generating about -0.09 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  26,560  in Vanguard Total Stock on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1,581) from holding Vanguard Total Stock or give up 5.95% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Strong
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Northern Small Cap  vs.  Vanguard Total Stock

Northern Small Cap

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Northern Small Cap has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of latest weak performance, the Fund's fundamental indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the fund investors.

Vanguard Total Stock

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Vanguard Total Stock has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Total is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with Northern Small and Vanguard Total

The main advantage of trading using opposite Northern Small and Vanguard Total positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Northern Small position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Total can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Total will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Total's long position.

The idea behind Northern Small Cap and Vanguard Total Stock pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.