Correlation Between Northern Bond and Northern Tax

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Northern Bond and Northern Tax at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Northern Bond and Northern Tax into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Northern Bond Index and Northern Tax Exempt Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Northern Bond and Northern Tax and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Northern Bond with a short position of Northern Tax. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Northern Bond and Northern Tax.

Diversification Opportunities for Northern Bond and Northern Tax

0.72

Correlation Coefficient

Northern Bond  Northern Tax

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Northern and Northern is 0.72. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Northern Bond Index and Northern Tax Exempt Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Northern Tax Exempt and Northern Bond is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Northern Bond Index are associated (or correlated) with Northern Tax. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Northern Tax Exempt has no effect on the direction of Northern Bond i.e., Northern Bond and Northern Tax go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Northern Bond and Northern Tax

Assuming the 90 days horizon Northern Bond is expected to generate 1.18 times less return on investment than Northern Tax. In addition to that, Northern Bond is 1.71 times more volatile than Northern Tax Exempt Fund. It trades about 0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Northern Tax Exempt Fund is currently generating about 0.02 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  941.00  in Northern Tax Exempt Fund on September 25, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  10.00  from holding Northern Tax Exempt Fund or generate 1.06% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	99.6%
Values	Daily Returns

Northern Bond Index  vs.  Northern Tax Exempt Fund

Northern Bond Index

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Northern Bond Index has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Northern Bond is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Northern Tax Exempt

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Northern Tax Exempt Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, Northern Tax is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with Northern Bond and Northern Tax

The main advantage of trading using opposite Northern Bond and Northern Tax positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Northern Bond position performs unexpectedly, Northern Tax can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Northern Tax will offset losses from the drop in Northern Tax's long position.

The idea behind Northern Bond Index and Northern Tax Exempt Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.