Correlation Between National Bankshares and Bankwell Financial

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both National Bankshares and Bankwell Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining National Bankshares and Bankwell Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between National Bankshares and Bankwell Financial Group, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on National Bankshares and Bankwell Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in National Bankshares with a short position of Bankwell Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of National Bankshares and Bankwell Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for National Bankshares and Bankwell Financial

0.61
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between National and Bankwell is 0.61. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding National Bankshares and Bankwell Financial Group in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Bankwell Financial and National Bankshares is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on National Bankshares are associated (or correlated) with Bankwell Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Bankwell Financial has no effect on the direction of National Bankshares i.e., National Bankshares and Bankwell Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between National Bankshares and Bankwell Financial

Given the investment horizon of 90 days National Bankshares is expected to under-perform the Bankwell Financial. In addition to that, National Bankshares is 1.05 times more volatile than Bankwell Financial Group. It trades about -0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Bankwell Financial Group is currently generating about -0.02 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  3,089  in Bankwell Financial Group on December 21, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (80.00) from holding Bankwell Financial Group or give up 2.59% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

National Bankshares  vs.  Bankwell Financial Group

 Performance 
       Timeline  
National Bankshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days National Bankshares has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong basic indicators, National Bankshares is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.
Bankwell Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Bankwell Financial Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable technical and fundamental indicators, Bankwell Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.

National Bankshares and Bankwell Financial Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with National Bankshares and Bankwell Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite National Bankshares and Bankwell Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if National Bankshares position performs unexpectedly, Bankwell Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bankwell Financial will offset losses from the drop in Bankwell Financial's long position.
The idea behind National Bankshares and Bankwell Financial Group pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

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