Correlation Between Natural Gas and Silver Futures

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Natural Gas and Silver Futures at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Natural Gas and Silver Futures into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Natural Gas and Silver Futures, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Natural Gas and Silver Futures and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Natural Gas with a short position of Silver Futures. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Natural Gas and Silver Futures.

Diversification Opportunities for Natural Gas and Silver Futures

0.33
  Correlation Coefficient

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Natural and Silver is 0.33. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Natural Gas and Silver Futures in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Silver Futures and Natural Gas is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Natural Gas are associated (or correlated) with Silver Futures. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Silver Futures has no effect on the direction of Natural Gas i.e., Natural Gas and Silver Futures go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Natural Gas and Silver Futures

Assuming the 90 days horizon Natural Gas is expected to generate 1.77 times less return on investment than Silver Futures. In addition to that, Natural Gas is 3.11 times more volatile than Silver Futures. It trades about 0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Silver Futures is currently generating about 0.19 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,941  in Silver Futures on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  540.00  from holding Silver Futures or generate 18.36% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Natural Gas  vs.  Silver Futures

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Natural Gas 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Natural Gas are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, Natural Gas may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.
Silver Futures 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Silver Futures are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, Silver Futures exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Natural Gas and Silver Futures Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Natural Gas and Silver Futures

The main advantage of trading using opposite Natural Gas and Silver Futures positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Natural Gas position performs unexpectedly, Silver Futures can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Silver Futures will offset losses from the drop in Silver Futures' long position.
The idea behind Natural Gas and Silver Futures pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

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