Correlation Between NovaGold Resources and Origin Materials

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both NovaGold Resources and Origin Materials at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining NovaGold Resources and Origin Materials into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between NovaGold Resources and Origin Materials Warrant, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on NovaGold Resources and Origin Materials and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in NovaGold Resources with a short position of Origin Materials. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of NovaGold Resources and Origin Materials.

Diversification Opportunities for NovaGold Resources and Origin Materials

0.06
  Correlation Coefficient

Significant diversification

The 3 months correlation between NovaGold and Origin is 0.06. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding NovaGold Resources and Origin Materials Warrant in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Origin Materials Warrant and NovaGold Resources is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on NovaGold Resources are associated (or correlated) with Origin Materials. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Origin Materials Warrant has no effect on the direction of NovaGold Resources i.e., NovaGold Resources and Origin Materials go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between NovaGold Resources and Origin Materials

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon NovaGold Resources is expected to generate 0.23 times more return on investment than Origin Materials. However, NovaGold Resources is 4.34 times less risky than Origin Materials. It trades about -0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Origin Materials Warrant is currently generating about -0.04 per unit of risk. If you would invest  327.00  in NovaGold Resources on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (17.00) from holding NovaGold Resources or give up 5.2% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

NovaGold Resources  vs.  Origin Materials Warrant

 Performance 
       Timeline  
NovaGold Resources 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days NovaGold Resources has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable technical and fundamental indicators, NovaGold Resources is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.
Origin Materials Warrant 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Origin Materials Warrant has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of abnormal performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly stable which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest fuss may also be a sign of long-term up-swing for the venture sophisticated investors.

NovaGold Resources and Origin Materials Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with NovaGold Resources and Origin Materials

The main advantage of trading using opposite NovaGold Resources and Origin Materials positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if NovaGold Resources position performs unexpectedly, Origin Materials can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Origin Materials will offset losses from the drop in Origin Materials' long position.
The idea behind NovaGold Resources and Origin Materials Warrant pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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