Correlation Between NovaGold Resources and Alamos Gold

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both NovaGold Resources and Alamos Gold at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining NovaGold Resources and Alamos Gold into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between NovaGold Resources and Alamos Gold, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on NovaGold Resources and Alamos Gold and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in NovaGold Resources with a short position of Alamos Gold. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of NovaGold Resources and Alamos Gold.

Diversification Opportunities for NovaGold Resources and Alamos Gold

-0.19

Correlation Coefficient

NovaGold Resources  Alamos Gold

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between NovaGold and Alamos is -0.19. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding NovaGold Resources and Alamos Gold in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Alamos Gold and NovaGold Resources is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on NovaGold Resources are associated (or correlated) with Alamos Gold. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Alamos Gold has no effect on the direction of NovaGold Resources i.e., NovaGold Resources and Alamos Gold go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between NovaGold Resources and Alamos Gold

Assuming the 90 days horizon NovaGold Resources is expected to under-perform the Alamos Gold. In addition to that, NovaGold Resources is 1.59 times more volatile than Alamos Gold. It trades about -0.04 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Alamos Gold is currently generating about 0.32 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,591  in Alamos Gold on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,216  from holding Alamos Gold or generate 46.93% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Insignificant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

NovaGold Resources  vs.  Alamos Gold

NovaGold Resources

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days NovaGold Resources has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest unfluctuating performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain healthy and the recent disarray on Wall Street may also be a sign of long period gains for the firm investors.

Alamos Gold

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Alamos Gold are ranked lower than 25 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very abnormal forward indicators, Alamos Gold displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with NovaGold Resources and Alamos Gold

The main advantage of trading using opposite NovaGold Resources and Alamos Gold positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if NovaGold Resources position performs unexpectedly, Alamos Gold can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Alamos Gold will offset losses from the drop in Alamos Gold's long position.

The idea behind NovaGold Resources and Alamos Gold pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.