Correlation Between National Bank and Horizon Bancorp

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both National Bank and Horizon Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining National Bank and Horizon Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between National Bank Holdings and Horizon Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on National Bank and Horizon Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in National Bank with a short position of Horizon Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of National Bank and Horizon Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for National Bank and Horizon Bancorp

0.95

Correlation Coefficient

National Bank  Horizon Bancorp

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between National and Horizon is 0.95. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding National Bank Holdings and Horizon Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Horizon Bancorp and National Bank is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on National Bank Holdings are associated (or correlated) with Horizon Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Horizon Bancorp has no effect on the direction of National Bank i.e., National Bank and Horizon Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between National Bank and Horizon Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days National Bank is expected to generate 1.41 times less return on investment than Horizon Bancorp. In addition to that, National Bank is 1.04 times more volatile than Horizon Bancorp. It trades about 0.07 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Horizon Bancorp is currently generating about 0.11 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,582  in Horizon Bancorp on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  247.00  from holding Horizon Bancorp or generate 15.61% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Strong
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

National Bank Holdings  vs.  Horizon Bancorp

National Bank Holdings

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National Bank Holdings are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unfluctuating technical indicators, National Bank may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Horizon Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Horizon Bancorp are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, Horizon Bancorp exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with National Bank and Horizon Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite National Bank and Horizon Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if National Bank position performs unexpectedly, Horizon Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Horizon Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in Horizon Bancorp's long position.

The idea behind National Bank Holdings and Horizon Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.