Correlation Between National Bank and First Northwest

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both National Bank and First Northwest at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining National Bank and First Northwest into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between National Bank Holdings and First Northwest Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on National Bank and First Northwest and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in National Bank with a short position of First Northwest. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of National Bank and First Northwest.

Diversification Opportunities for National Bank and First Northwest

0.43

Correlation Coefficient

National Bank  First Northwest

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between National and First is 0.43. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding National Bank Holdings and First Northwest Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Northwest Bancorp and National Bank is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on National Bank Holdings are associated (or correlated) with First Northwest. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Northwest Bancorp has no effect on the direction of National Bank i.e., National Bank and First Northwest go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between National Bank and First Northwest

Given the investment horizon of 90 days National Bank Holdings is expected to under-perform the First Northwest. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, National Bank Holdings is 1.18 times less risky than First Northwest. The stock trades about -0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The First Northwest Bancorp is currently generating about -0.01 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,098  in First Northwest Bancorp on November 30, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (17.00) from holding First Northwest Bancorp or give up 1.55% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

National Bank Holdings  vs.  First Northwest Bancorp

National Bank Holdings

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days National Bank Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders.

First Northwest Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days First Northwest Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, First Northwest is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with National Bank and First Northwest

The main advantage of trading using opposite National Bank and First Northwest positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if National Bank position performs unexpectedly, First Northwest can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Northwest will offset losses from the drop in First Northwest's long position.

The idea behind National Bank Holdings and First Northwest Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.