Correlation Between Vanguard Small and Vanguard Long-term

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Small and Vanguard Long-term at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Small and Vanguard Long-term into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Small Cap Index and Vanguard Long Term Bond, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Small and Vanguard Long-term and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Small with a short position of Vanguard Long-term. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Small and Vanguard Long-term.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Small and Vanguard Long-term

-0.6

Correlation Coefficient

Vanguard Small  Vanguard Long-term

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Vanguard is -0.6. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Small Cap Index and Vanguard Long Term Bond in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Long Term and Vanguard Small is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Small Cap Index are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Long-term. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Long Term has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Small i.e., Vanguard Small and Vanguard Long-term go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Small and Vanguard Long-term

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Small Cap Index is expected to under-perform the Vanguard Long-term. In addition to that, Vanguard Small is 1.82 times more volatile than Vanguard Long Term Bond. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard Long Term Bond is currently generating about 0.07 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,031  in Vanguard Long Term Bond on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  27.00  from holding Vanguard Long Term Bond or generate 2.62% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Vanguard Small Cap Index  vs.  Vanguard Long Term Bond

Vanguard Small Cap

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Vanguard Small Cap Index has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of latest weak performance, the Fund's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the fund investors.

Vanguard Long Term

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Long Term Bond are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Vanguard Long-term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with Vanguard Small and Vanguard Long-term

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Small and Vanguard Long-term positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Small position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Long-term can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Long-term will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Long-term's long position.

The idea behind Vanguard Small Cap Index and Vanguard Long Term Bond pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.