Correlation Between North American and Ecopetrol

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both North American and Ecopetrol at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining North American and Ecopetrol into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between North American Construction and Ecopetrol SA, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on North American and Ecopetrol and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in North American with a short position of Ecopetrol. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of North American and Ecopetrol.

Diversification Opportunities for North American and Ecopetrol

-0.47

Correlation Coefficient

North American  Ecopetrol

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between North and Ecopetrol is -0.47. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding North American Construction and Ecopetrol SA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ecopetrol SA and North American is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on North American Construction are associated (or correlated) with Ecopetrol. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ecopetrol SA has no effect on the direction of North American i.e., North American and Ecopetrol go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between North American and Ecopetrol

Assuming the 90 days horizon North American Construction is expected to under-perform the Ecopetrol. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, North American Construction is 1.22 times less risky than Ecopetrol. The stock trades about -0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Ecopetrol SA is currently generating about 0.15 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  740.00  in Ecopetrol SA on December 23, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  200.00  from holding Ecopetrol SA or generate 27.03% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

North American Construction  vs.  Ecopetrol SA

North American Const

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days North American Construction has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.

Ecopetrol SA

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ecopetrol SA are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unsteady technical indicators, Ecopetrol reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with North American and Ecopetrol

The main advantage of trading using opposite North American and Ecopetrol positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if North American position performs unexpectedly, Ecopetrol can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ecopetrol will offset losses from the drop in Ecopetrol's long position.

The idea behind North American Construction and Ecopetrol SA pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.