Correlation Between Main Street and Home Federal

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Main Street and Home Federal at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Main Street and Home Federal into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Main Street Financial and Home Federal Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Main Street and Home Federal and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Main Street with a short position of Home Federal. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Main Street and Home Federal.

Diversification Opportunities for Main Street and Home Federal

-0.07

Correlation Coefficient

Main Street  Home Federal

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Main and Home is -0.07. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Main Street Financial and Home Federal Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Home Federal Bancorp and Main Street is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Main Street Financial are associated (or correlated) with Home Federal. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Home Federal Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Main Street i.e., Main Street and Home Federal go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Main Street and Home Federal

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Main Street is expected to generate 2.82 times less return on investment than Home Federal. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Main Street Financial is 4.56 times less risky than Home Federal. It trades about 0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Home Federal Bancorp is currently generating about 0.11 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,227  in Home Federal Bancorp on September 21, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  62.00  from holding Home Federal Bancorp or generate 5.05% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Insignificant
Accuracy	95.45%
Values	Daily Returns

Main Street Financial  vs.  Home Federal Bancorp

Main Street Financial

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Main Street Financial are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly stable basic indicators, Main Street is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price fuss, may contribute to near-short-term losses for the sophisticated investors.

Home Federal Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

Weak

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Home Federal Bancorp are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite persistent fundamental drivers, Home Federal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.

Pair Trading with Main Street and Home Federal

The main advantage of trading using opposite Main Street and Home Federal positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Main Street position performs unexpectedly, Home Federal can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Home Federal will offset losses from the drop in Home Federal's long position.

The idea behind Main Street Financial and Home Federal Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.