Correlation Between Morningstar Municipal and The Fairholme

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Morningstar Municipal and The Fairholme at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Morningstar Municipal and The Fairholme into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Morningstar Municipal Bond and The Fairholme Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Morningstar Municipal and The Fairholme and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Morningstar Municipal with a short position of The Fairholme. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Morningstar Municipal and The Fairholme.

Diversification Opportunities for Morningstar Municipal and The Fairholme

0.36
  Correlation Coefficient

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Morningstar and The is 0.36. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Morningstar Municipal Bond and The Fairholme Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on The Fairholme and Morningstar Municipal is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Morningstar Municipal Bond are associated (or correlated) with The Fairholme. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of The Fairholme has no effect on the direction of Morningstar Municipal i.e., Morningstar Municipal and The Fairholme go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Morningstar Municipal and The Fairholme

Assuming the 90 days horizon Morningstar Municipal Bond is expected to generate 0.17 times more return on investment than The Fairholme. However, Morningstar Municipal Bond is 6.03 times less risky than The Fairholme. It trades about -0.37 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Fairholme Fund is currently generating about -0.28 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,010  in Morningstar Municipal Bond on October 8, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (14.00) from holding Morningstar Municipal Bond or give up 1.39% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Morningstar Municipal Bond  vs.  The Fairholme Fund

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Morningstar Municipal 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Morningstar Municipal Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Morningstar Municipal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
The Fairholme 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days The Fairholme Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Fund's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in February 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the fund investors.

Morningstar Municipal and The Fairholme Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Morningstar Municipal and The Fairholme

The main advantage of trading using opposite Morningstar Municipal and The Fairholme positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Morningstar Municipal position performs unexpectedly, The Fairholme can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in The Fairholme will offset losses from the drop in The Fairholme's long position.
The idea behind Morningstar Municipal Bond and The Fairholme Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

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