Correlation Between Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraPro

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraPro at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraPro into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Direxion Daily MSFT and ProShares UltraPro MidCap400, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraPro and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Direxion Daily with a short position of ProShares UltraPro. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraPro.

Diversification Opportunities for Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraPro

-0.87
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Direxion and ProShares is -0.87. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Direxion Daily MSFT and ProShares UltraPro MidCap400 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ProShares UltraPro and Direxion Daily is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Direxion Daily MSFT are associated (or correlated) with ProShares UltraPro. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ProShares UltraPro has no effect on the direction of Direxion Daily i.e., Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraPro go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraPro

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Direxion Daily MSFT is expected to generate 0.48 times more return on investment than ProShares UltraPro. However, Direxion Daily MSFT is 2.09 times less risky than ProShares UltraPro. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. ProShares UltraPro MidCap400 is currently generating about -0.11 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,350  in Direxion Daily MSFT on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  159.00  from holding Direxion Daily MSFT or generate 11.78% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Direxion Daily MSFT  vs.  ProShares UltraPro MidCap400

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Direxion Daily MSFT 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Direxion Daily MSFT are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather uncertain technical and fundamental indicators, Direxion Daily may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.
ProShares UltraPro 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days ProShares UltraPro MidCap400 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Etf's fundamental indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the fund shareholders.

Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraPro Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraPro

The main advantage of trading using opposite Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraPro positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Direxion Daily position performs unexpectedly, ProShares UltraPro can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ProShares UltraPro will offset losses from the drop in ProShares UltraPro's long position.
The idea behind Direxion Daily MSFT and ProShares UltraPro MidCap400 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

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