Correlation Between Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraShort

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraShort at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraShort into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Direxion Daily MSFT and ProShares UltraShort MSCI, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraShort and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Direxion Daily with a short position of ProShares UltraShort. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraShort.

Diversification Opportunities for Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraShort

0.19

Correlation Coefficient

Direxion Daily  ProShares UltraShort

Average diversification

The 3 months correlation between Direxion and ProShares is 0.19. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Direxion Daily MSFT and ProShares UltraShort MSCI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ProShares UltraShort MSCI and Direxion Daily is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Direxion Daily MSFT are associated (or correlated) with ProShares UltraShort. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ProShares UltraShort MSCI has no effect on the direction of Direxion Daily i.e., Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraShort go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraShort

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Direxion Daily MSFT is expected to under-perform the ProShares UltraShort. But the etf apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Direxion Daily MSFT is 1.41 times less risky than ProShares UltraShort. The etf trades about -0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The ProShares UltraShort MSCI is currently generating about -0.04 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  6,389  in ProShares UltraShort MSCI on September 4, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (2,452) from holding ProShares UltraShort MSCI or give up 38.38% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Insignificant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Direxion Daily MSFT  vs.  ProShares UltraShort MSCI

Direxion Daily MSFT

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Direxion Daily MSFT has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound technical and fundamental indicators, Direxion Daily is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

ProShares UltraShort MSCI

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days ProShares UltraShort MSCI has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly stable basic indicators, ProShares UltraShort is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price fuss, may contribute to near-short-term losses for the sophisticated investors.

Pair Trading with Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraShort

The main advantage of trading using opposite Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraShort positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Direxion Daily position performs unexpectedly, ProShares UltraShort can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ProShares UltraShort will offset losses from the drop in ProShares UltraShort's long position.

The idea behind Direxion Daily MSFT and ProShares UltraShort MSCI pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.