Correlation Between Morgan Stanley and Ulta Beauty

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Morgan Stanley and Ulta Beauty at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Morgan Stanley and Ulta Beauty into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Morgan Stanley Direct and Ulta Beauty, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Morgan Stanley and Ulta Beauty and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Morgan Stanley with a short position of Ulta Beauty. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Morgan Stanley and Ulta Beauty.

Diversification Opportunities for Morgan Stanley and Ulta Beauty

0.62

Correlation Coefficient

Morgan Stanley  Ulta Beauty

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Morgan and Ulta is 0.62. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Morgan Stanley Direct and Ulta Beauty in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ulta Beauty and Morgan Stanley is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Morgan Stanley Direct are associated (or correlated) with Ulta Beauty. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ulta Beauty has no effect on the direction of Morgan Stanley i.e., Morgan Stanley and Ulta Beauty go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Morgan Stanley and Ulta Beauty

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Morgan Stanley is expected to generate 1.12 times less return on investment than Ulta Beauty. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Morgan Stanley Direct is 1.56 times less risky than Ulta Beauty. It trades about 0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Ulta Beauty is currently generating about 0.02 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  37,800  in Ulta Beauty on September 23, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,710  from holding Ulta Beauty or generate 7.17% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	84.67%
Values	Daily Returns

Morgan Stanley Direct  vs.  Ulta Beauty

Morgan Stanley Direct

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Morgan Stanley Direct are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite inconsistent fundamental indicators, Morgan Stanley may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Ulta Beauty

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ulta Beauty are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, Ulta Beauty reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with Morgan Stanley and Ulta Beauty

The main advantage of trading using opposite Morgan Stanley and Ulta Beauty positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Morgan Stanley position performs unexpectedly, Ulta Beauty can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ulta Beauty will offset losses from the drop in Ulta Beauty's long position.

The idea behind Morgan Stanley Direct and Ulta Beauty pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.