Correlation Between Movado and Tillys

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Movado and Tillys at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Movado and Tillys into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Movado Group and Tillys Inc, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Movado and Tillys and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Movado with a short position of Tillys. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Movado and Tillys.

Diversification Opportunities for Movado and Tillys

0.64
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Movado and Tillys is 0.64. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Movado Group and Tillys Inc in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Tillys Inc and Movado is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Movado Group are associated (or correlated) with Tillys. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Tillys Inc has no effect on the direction of Movado i.e., Movado and Tillys go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Movado and Tillys

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Movado Group is expected to generate 0.43 times more return on investment than Tillys. However, Movado Group is 2.3 times less risky than Tillys. It trades about -0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Tillys Inc is currently generating about -0.2 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,960  in Movado Group on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (247.00) from holding Movado Group or give up 12.6% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy98.36%
ValuesDaily Returns

Movado Group  vs.  Tillys Inc

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Movado Group 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Movado Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly stable which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest fuss may also be a sign of long-term up-swing for the venture sophisticated investors.
Tillys Inc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Tillys Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors.

Movado and Tillys Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Movado and Tillys

The main advantage of trading using opposite Movado and Tillys positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Movado position performs unexpectedly, Tillys can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Tillys will offset losses from the drop in Tillys' long position.
The idea behind Movado Group and Tillys Inc pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

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