Correlation Between Merck KGaA and Mountain Valley

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Merck KGaA and Mountain Valley at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Merck KGaA and Mountain Valley into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Merck KGaA ADR and Mountain Valley MD, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Merck KGaA and Mountain Valley and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Merck KGaA with a short position of Mountain Valley. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Merck KGaA and Mountain Valley.

Diversification Opportunities for Merck KGaA and Mountain Valley

0.46

Correlation Coefficient

Merck KGaA  Mountain Valley

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Merck and Mountain is 0.46. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Merck KGaA ADR and Mountain Valley MD in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Mountain Valley MD and Merck KGaA is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Merck KGaA ADR are associated (or correlated) with Mountain Valley. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Mountain Valley MD has no effect on the direction of Merck KGaA i.e., Merck KGaA and Mountain Valley go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Merck KGaA and Mountain Valley

Assuming the 90 days horizon Merck KGaA ADR is expected to under-perform the Mountain Valley. But the pink sheet apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Merck KGaA ADR is 5.26 times less risky than Mountain Valley. The pink sheet trades about -0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Mountain Valley MD is currently generating about 0.02 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  5.10  in Mountain Valley MD on October 27, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (3.19) from holding Mountain Valley MD or give up 62.55% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	99.8%
Values	Daily Returns

Merck KGaA ADR  vs.  Mountain Valley MD

Merck KGaA ADR

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Merck KGaA ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors.

Mountain Valley MD

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Weak

Over the last 90 days Mountain Valley MD has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly weak fundamental indicators, Mountain Valley may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2025.

Pair Trading with Merck KGaA and Mountain Valley

The main advantage of trading using opposite Merck KGaA and Mountain Valley positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Merck KGaA position performs unexpectedly, Mountain Valley can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Mountain Valley will offset losses from the drop in Mountain Valley's long position.

The idea behind Merck KGaA ADR and Mountain Valley MD pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.