Correlation Between Merck KGaA and CanSino Biologics

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Merck KGaA and CanSino Biologics at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Merck KGaA and CanSino Biologics into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Merck KGaA ADR and CanSino Biologics, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Merck KGaA and CanSino Biologics and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Merck KGaA with a short position of CanSino Biologics. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Merck KGaA and CanSino Biologics.

Diversification Opportunities for Merck KGaA and CanSino Biologics

-0.51
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Merck and CanSino is -0.51. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Merck KGaA ADR and CanSino Biologics in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on CanSino Biologics and Merck KGaA is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Merck KGaA ADR are associated (or correlated) with CanSino Biologics. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of CanSino Biologics has no effect on the direction of Merck KGaA i.e., Merck KGaA and CanSino Biologics go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Merck KGaA and CanSino Biologics

Assuming the 90 days horizon Merck KGaA ADR is expected to under-perform the CanSino Biologics. But the pink sheet apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Merck KGaA ADR is 2.63 times less risky than CanSino Biologics. The pink sheet trades about -0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The CanSino Biologics is currently generating about 0.0 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  351.00  in CanSino Biologics on October 25, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (14.00) from holding CanSino Biologics or give up 3.99% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Merck KGaA ADR  vs.  CanSino Biologics

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Merck KGaA ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Merck KGaA ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors.
CanSino Biologics 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days CanSino Biologics has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable fundamental drivers, CanSino Biologics is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.

Merck KGaA and CanSino Biologics Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Merck KGaA and CanSino Biologics

The main advantage of trading using opposite Merck KGaA and CanSino Biologics positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Merck KGaA position performs unexpectedly, CanSino Biologics can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in CanSino Biologics will offset losses from the drop in CanSino Biologics' long position.
The idea behind Merck KGaA ADR and CanSino Biologics pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

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