Correlation Between MOL PLC and TotalEnergies

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both MOL PLC and TotalEnergies at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining MOL PLC and TotalEnergies into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between MOL PLC ADR and TotalEnergies SE, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on MOL PLC and TotalEnergies and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in MOL PLC with a short position of TotalEnergies. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of MOL PLC and TotalEnergies.

Diversification Opportunities for MOL PLC and TotalEnergies

0.81
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between MOL and TotalEnergies is 0.81. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding MOL PLC ADR and TotalEnergies SE in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on TotalEnergies SE and MOL PLC is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on MOL PLC ADR are associated (or correlated) with TotalEnergies. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of TotalEnergies SE has no effect on the direction of MOL PLC i.e., MOL PLC and TotalEnergies go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between MOL PLC and TotalEnergies

Assuming the 90 days horizon MOL PLC ADR is expected to under-perform the TotalEnergies. But the pink sheet apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, MOL PLC ADR is 1.37 times less risky than TotalEnergies. The pink sheet trades about -0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The TotalEnergies SE is currently generating about -0.1 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  6,491  in TotalEnergies SE on September 6, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (773.00) from holding TotalEnergies SE or give up 11.91% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

MOL PLC ADR  vs.  TotalEnergies SE

 Performance 
       Timeline  
MOL PLC ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days MOL PLC ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.
TotalEnergies SE 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days TotalEnergies SE has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest fragile performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders.

MOL PLC and TotalEnergies Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with MOL PLC and TotalEnergies

The main advantage of trading using opposite MOL PLC and TotalEnergies positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if MOL PLC position performs unexpectedly, TotalEnergies can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in TotalEnergies will offset losses from the drop in TotalEnergies' long position.
The idea behind MOL PLC ADR and TotalEnergies SE pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

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