Correlation Between Micro Gold and Heating Oil

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Micro Gold and Heating Oil at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Micro Gold and Heating Oil into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Micro Gold Futures and Heating Oil, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Micro Gold and Heating Oil and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Micro Gold with a short position of Heating Oil. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Micro Gold and Heating Oil.

Diversification Opportunities for Micro Gold and Heating Oil

-0.46
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Micro and Heating is -0.46. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Micro Gold Futures and Heating Oil in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Heating Oil and Micro Gold is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Micro Gold Futures are associated (or correlated) with Heating Oil. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Heating Oil has no effect on the direction of Micro Gold i.e., Micro Gold and Heating Oil go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Micro Gold and Heating Oil

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Micro Gold Futures is expected to generate 0.54 times more return on investment than Heating Oil. However, Micro Gold Futures is 1.87 times less risky than Heating Oil. It trades about 0.34 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Heating Oil is currently generating about -0.02 per unit of risk. If you would invest  261,810  in Micro Gold Futures on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  52,180  from holding Micro Gold Futures or generate 19.93% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Micro Gold Futures  vs.  Heating Oil

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Micro Gold Futures 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Strong

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Micro Gold Futures are ranked lower than 26 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady fundamental indicators, Micro Gold exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Heating Oil 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Heating Oil has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Heating Oil is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Micro Gold and Heating Oil Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Micro Gold and Heating Oil

The main advantage of trading using opposite Micro Gold and Heating Oil positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Micro Gold position performs unexpectedly, Heating Oil can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Heating Oil will offset losses from the drop in Heating Oil's long position.
The idea behind Micro Gold Futures and Heating Oil pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.

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