Correlation Between McDonalds and Shake Shack

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both McDonalds and Shake Shack at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining McDonalds and Shake Shack into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between McDonalds and Shake Shack, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on McDonalds and Shake Shack and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in McDonalds with a short position of Shake Shack. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of McDonalds and Shake Shack.

Diversification Opportunities for McDonalds and Shake Shack

-0.71
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between McDonalds and Shake is -0.71. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding McDonalds and Shake Shack in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Shake Shack and McDonalds is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on McDonalds are associated (or correlated) with Shake Shack. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Shake Shack has no effect on the direction of McDonalds i.e., McDonalds and Shake Shack go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between McDonalds and Shake Shack

Considering the 90-day investment horizon McDonalds is expected to generate 0.37 times more return on investment than Shake Shack. However, McDonalds is 2.72 times less risky than Shake Shack. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Shake Shack is currently generating about -0.13 per unit of risk. If you would invest  28,794  in McDonalds on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,475  from holding McDonalds or generate 8.6% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

McDonalds  vs.  Shake Shack

 Performance 
       Timeline  
McDonalds 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in McDonalds are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unfluctuating fundamental indicators, McDonalds may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.
Shake Shack 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Shake Shack has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.

McDonalds and Shake Shack Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with McDonalds and Shake Shack

The main advantage of trading using opposite McDonalds and Shake Shack positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if McDonalds position performs unexpectedly, Shake Shack can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Shake Shack will offset losses from the drop in Shake Shack's long position.
The idea behind McDonalds and Shake Shack pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

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