Correlation Between Merchants Bancorp and Arch Capital

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Merchants Bancorp and Arch Capital at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Merchants Bancorp and Arch Capital into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Merchants Bancorp and Arch Capital Group, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Merchants Bancorp and Arch Capital and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Merchants Bancorp with a short position of Arch Capital. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Merchants Bancorp and Arch Capital.

Diversification Opportunities for Merchants Bancorp and Arch Capital

-0.93
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Merchants and Arch is -0.93. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Merchants Bancorp and Arch Capital Group in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Arch Capital Group and Merchants Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Merchants Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Arch Capital. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Arch Capital Group has no effect on the direction of Merchants Bancorp i.e., Merchants Bancorp and Arch Capital go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Merchants Bancorp and Arch Capital

Assuming the 90 days horizon Merchants Bancorp is expected to generate 0.05 times more return on investment than Arch Capital. However, Merchants Bancorp is 18.39 times less risky than Arch Capital. It trades about 0.54 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Arch Capital Group is currently generating about -0.13 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,488  in Merchants Bancorp on October 10, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  12.00  from holding Merchants Bancorp or generate 0.48% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy90.48%
ValuesDaily Returns

Merchants Bancorp  vs.  Arch Capital Group

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Merchants Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

17 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Merchants Bancorp are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Merchants Bancorp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Arch Capital Group 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Arch Capital Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy essential indicators, Arch Capital is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Merchants Bancorp and Arch Capital Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Merchants Bancorp and Arch Capital

The main advantage of trading using opposite Merchants Bancorp and Arch Capital positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Merchants Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, Arch Capital can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Arch Capital will offset losses from the drop in Arch Capital's long position.
The idea behind Merchants Bancorp and Arch Capital Group pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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