Correlation Between Total Return and Dow Jones

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Total Return and Dow Jones at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Total Return and Dow Jones into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Total Return Bond and Dow Jones Industrial, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Total Return and Dow Jones and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Total Return with a short position of Dow Jones. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Total Return and Dow Jones.

Diversification Opportunities for Total Return and Dow Jones

-0.21

Correlation Coefficient

Total Return  Dow Jones

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Total and Dow is -0.21. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Total Return Bond and Dow Jones Industrial in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Dow Jones Industrial and Total Return is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Total Return Bond are associated (or correlated) with Dow Jones. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Dow Jones Industrial has no effect on the direction of Total Return i.e., Total Return and Dow Jones go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Total Return and Dow Jones

Assuming the 90 days horizon Total Return is expected to generate 3.63 times less return on investment than Dow Jones. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Total Return Bond is 1.89 times less risky than Dow Jones. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating about 0.12 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  3,409,586  in Dow Jones Industrial on October 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  889,635  from holding Dow Jones Industrial or generate 26.09% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Insignificant
Accuracy	99.66%
Values	Daily Returns

Total Return Bond  vs.  Dow Jones Industrial

Pair Trading with Total Return and Dow Jones

The main advantage of trading using opposite Total Return and Dow Jones positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Total Return position performs unexpectedly, Dow Jones can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Dow Jones will offset losses from the drop in Dow Jones' long position.

The idea behind Total Return Bond and Dow Jones Industrial pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.