Correlation Between Total Return and Ultra Short

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Total Return and Ultra Short at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Total Return and Ultra Short into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Total Return Bond and Ultra Short Term Municipal, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Total Return and Ultra Short and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Total Return with a short position of Ultra Short. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Total Return and Ultra Short.

Diversification Opportunities for Total Return and Ultra Short

-0.5

Correlation Coefficient

Total Return  Ultra Short

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Total and Ultra is -0.5. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Total Return Bond and Ultra Short Term Municipal in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ultra Short Term and Total Return is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Total Return Bond are associated (or correlated) with Ultra Short. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ultra Short Term has no effect on the direction of Total Return i.e., Total Return and Ultra Short go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Total Return and Ultra Short

Assuming the 90 days horizon Total Return Bond is expected to generate 6.44 times more return on investment than Ultra Short. However, Total Return is 6.44 times more volatile than Ultra Short Term Municipal. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Ultra Short Term Municipal is currently generating about 0.21 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,043  in Total Return Bond on September 20, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  79.00  from holding Total Return Bond or generate 7.57% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	99.8%
Values	Daily Returns

Total Return Bond  vs.  Ultra Short Term Municipal

Total Return Bond

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Total Return Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Total Return is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Ultra Short Term

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ultra Short Term Municipal are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Ultra Short is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with Total Return and Ultra Short

The main advantage of trading using opposite Total Return and Ultra Short positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Total Return position performs unexpectedly, Ultra Short can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ultra Short will offset losses from the drop in Ultra Short's long position.

The idea behind Total Return Bond and Ultra Short Term Municipal pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

Check out your portfolio center.

Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.