Correlation Between Middlefield Banc and ESSA Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Middlefield Banc and ESSA Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Middlefield Banc and ESSA Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Middlefield Banc and ESSA Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Middlefield Banc and ESSA Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Middlefield Banc with a short position of ESSA Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Middlefield Banc and ESSA Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for Middlefield Banc and ESSA Bancorp

0.75
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Middlefield and ESSA is 0.75. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Middlefield Banc and ESSA Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ESSA Bancorp and Middlefield Banc is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Middlefield Banc are associated (or correlated) with ESSA Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ESSA Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Middlefield Banc i.e., Middlefield Banc and ESSA Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Middlefield Banc and ESSA Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Middlefield Banc is expected to generate 1.07 times more return on investment than ESSA Bancorp. However, Middlefield Banc is 1.07 times more volatile than ESSA Bancorp. It trades about -0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. ESSA Bancorp is currently generating about -0.12 per unit of risk. If you would invest  3,010  in Middlefield Banc on September 21, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (61.00) from holding Middlefield Banc or give up 2.03% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Middlefield Banc  vs.  ESSA Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Middlefield Banc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Middlefield Banc are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy fundamental indicators, Middlefield Banc is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
ESSA Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ESSA Bancorp are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, ESSA Bancorp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Middlefield Banc and ESSA Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Middlefield Banc and ESSA Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite Middlefield Banc and ESSA Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Middlefield Banc position performs unexpectedly, ESSA Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ESSA Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in ESSA Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind Middlefield Banc and ESSA Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.

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