Correlation Between IShares Gold and Invesco DB

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both IShares Gold and Invesco DB at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining IShares Gold and Invesco DB into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between iShares Gold Trust and Invesco DB Agriculture, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on IShares Gold and Invesco DB and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in IShares Gold with a short position of Invesco DB. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of IShares Gold and Invesco DB.

Diversification Opportunities for IShares Gold and Invesco DB

-0.35
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between IShares and Invesco is -0.35. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding iShares Gold Trust and Invesco DB Agriculture in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Invesco DB Agriculture and IShares Gold is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on iShares Gold Trust are associated (or correlated) with Invesco DB. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Invesco DB Agriculture has no effect on the direction of IShares Gold i.e., IShares Gold and Invesco DB go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between IShares Gold and Invesco DB

Given the investment horizon of 90 days iShares Gold Trust is expected to under-perform the Invesco DB. In addition to that, IShares Gold is 1.48 times more volatile than Invesco DB Agriculture. It trades about -0.07 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Invesco DB Agriculture is currently generating about 0.31 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,631  in Invesco DB Agriculture on September 22, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  129.00  from holding Invesco DB Agriculture or generate 4.9% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

iShares Gold Trust  vs.  Invesco DB Agriculture

 Performance 
       Timeline  
iShares Gold Trust 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days iShares Gold Trust has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, IShares Gold is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Invesco DB Agriculture 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Invesco DB Agriculture are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat strong fundamental drivers, Invesco DB is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

IShares Gold and Invesco DB Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with IShares Gold and Invesco DB

The main advantage of trading using opposite IShares Gold and Invesco DB positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if IShares Gold position performs unexpectedly, Invesco DB can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Invesco DB will offset losses from the drop in Invesco DB's long position.
The idea behind iShares Gold Trust and Invesco DB Agriculture pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

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