Correlation Between Horizon Pharma and Amgen

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Horizon Pharma and Amgen at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Horizon Pharma and Amgen into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Horizon Pharma PLC and Amgen Inc, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Horizon Pharma and Amgen and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Horizon Pharma with a short position of Amgen. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Horizon Pharma and Amgen.

Diversification Opportunities for Horizon Pharma and Amgen

0.38
  Correlation Coefficient

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Horizon and Amgen is 0.38. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Horizon Pharma PLC and Amgen Inc in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Amgen Inc and Horizon Pharma is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Horizon Pharma PLC are associated (or correlated) with Amgen. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Amgen Inc has no effect on the direction of Horizon Pharma i.e., Horizon Pharma and Amgen go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Horizon Pharma and Amgen

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Horizon Pharma PLC is expected to under-perform the Amgen. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Horizon Pharma PLC is 1.12 times less risky than Amgen. The stock trades about -0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Amgen Inc is currently generating about 0.02 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  24,968  in Amgen Inc on September 5, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,864  from holding Amgen Inc or generate 11.47% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy30.51%
ValuesDaily Returns

Horizon Pharma PLC  vs.  Amgen Inc

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Horizon Pharma PLC 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Horizon Pharma PLC has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, Horizon Pharma is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.
Amgen Inc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Amgen Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors.

Horizon Pharma and Amgen Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Horizon Pharma and Amgen

The main advantage of trading using opposite Horizon Pharma and Amgen positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Horizon Pharma position performs unexpectedly, Amgen can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Amgen will offset losses from the drop in Amgen's long position.
The idea behind Horizon Pharma PLC and Amgen Inc pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.

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