Correlation Between Heartland Financial and Commerce Bancshares

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Heartland Financial and Commerce Bancshares at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Heartland Financial and Commerce Bancshares into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Heartland Financial USA and Commerce Bancshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Heartland Financial and Commerce Bancshares and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Heartland Financial with a short position of Commerce Bancshares. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Heartland Financial and Commerce Bancshares.

Diversification Opportunities for Heartland Financial and Commerce Bancshares

0.32

Correlation Coefficient

Heartland Financial  Commerce Bancshares

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Heartland and Commerce is 0.32. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Heartland Financial USA and Commerce Bancshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Commerce Bancshares and Heartland Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Heartland Financial USA are associated (or correlated) with Commerce Bancshares. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Commerce Bancshares has no effect on the direction of Heartland Financial i.e., Heartland Financial and Commerce Bancshares go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Heartland Financial and Commerce Bancshares

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Heartland Financial USA is expected to generate 1.15 times more return on investment than Commerce Bancshares. However, Heartland Financial is 1.15 times more volatile than Commerce Bancshares. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Commerce Bancshares is currently generating about -0.01 per unit of risk. If you would invest  6,106  in Heartland Financial USA on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  361.00  from holding Heartland Financial USA or generate 5.91% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	37.1%
Values	Daily Returns

Heartland Financial USA  vs.  Commerce Bancshares

Heartland Financial USA

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

Over the last 90 days Heartland Financial USA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly weak essential indicators, Heartland Financial reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Commerce Bancshares

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Commerce Bancshares has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong basic indicators, Commerce Bancshares is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.

Pair Trading with Heartland Financial and Commerce Bancshares

The main advantage of trading using opposite Heartland Financial and Commerce Bancshares positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Heartland Financial position performs unexpectedly, Commerce Bancshares can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Commerce Bancshares will offset losses from the drop in Commerce Bancshares' long position.

The idea behind Heartland Financial USA and Commerce Bancshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.