Correlation Between Hilltop Holdings and UMB Financial

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Hilltop Holdings and UMB Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Hilltop Holdings and UMB Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Hilltop Holdings and UMB Financial, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Hilltop Holdings and UMB Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Hilltop Holdings with a short position of UMB Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Hilltop Holdings and UMB Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for Hilltop Holdings and UMB Financial

0.4
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Hilltop and UMB is 0.4. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Hilltop Holdings and UMB Financial in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on UMB Financial and Hilltop Holdings is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Hilltop Holdings are associated (or correlated) with UMB Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of UMB Financial has no effect on the direction of Hilltop Holdings i.e., Hilltop Holdings and UMB Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Hilltop Holdings and UMB Financial

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Hilltop Holdings is expected to under-perform the UMB Financial. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Hilltop Holdings is 1.13 times less risky than UMB Financial. The stock trades about -0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The UMB Financial is currently generating about 0.14 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  10,346  in UMB Financial on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,203  from holding UMB Financial or generate 21.29% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Hilltop Holdings  vs.  UMB Financial

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Hilltop Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Hilltop Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong basic indicators, Hilltop Holdings is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.
UMB Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in UMB Financial are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile fundamental drivers, UMB Financial reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Hilltop Holdings and UMB Financial Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Hilltop Holdings and UMB Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite Hilltop Holdings and UMB Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Hilltop Holdings position performs unexpectedly, UMB Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in UMB Financial will offset losses from the drop in UMB Financial's long position.
The idea behind Hilltop Holdings and UMB Financial pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.

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