Correlation Between Harmony Gold and Vale SA

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Harmony Gold and Vale SA at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Harmony Gold and Vale SA into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Harmony Gold Mining and Vale SA, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Harmony Gold and Vale SA and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Harmony Gold with a short position of Vale SA. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Harmony Gold and Vale SA.

Diversification Opportunities for Harmony Gold and Vale SA

0.81

Correlation Coefficient

Harmony Gold  Vale SA

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Harmony and Vale is 0.81. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Harmony Gold Mining and Vale SA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vale SA and Harmony Gold is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Harmony Gold Mining are associated (or correlated) with Vale SA. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vale SA has no effect on the direction of Harmony Gold i.e., Harmony Gold and Vale SA go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Harmony Gold and Vale SA

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Harmony Gold Mining is expected to generate 0.94 times more return on investment than Vale SA. However, Harmony Gold Mining is 1.07 times less risky than Vale SA. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Vale SA is currently generating about -0.11 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,007,500  in Harmony Gold Mining on October 11, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  27,500  from holding Harmony Gold Mining or generate 2.73% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Strong
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Harmony Gold Mining  vs.  Vale SA

Harmony Gold Mining

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Harmony Gold Mining has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest weak performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors.

Vale SA

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Vale SA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in February 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.

Pair Trading with Harmony Gold and Vale SA

The main advantage of trading using opposite Harmony Gold and Vale SA positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Harmony Gold position performs unexpectedly, Vale SA can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vale SA will offset losses from the drop in Vale SA's long position.

The idea behind Harmony Gold Mining and Vale SA pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.