Correlation Between HMN Financial and Business First

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both HMN Financial and Business First at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining HMN Financial and Business First into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between HMN Financial and Business First Bancshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on HMN Financial and Business First and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in HMN Financial with a short position of Business First. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of HMN Financial and Business First.

Diversification Opportunities for HMN Financial and Business First

0.63
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between HMN and Business is 0.63. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding HMN Financial and Business First Bancshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Business First Bancshares and HMN Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on HMN Financial are associated (or correlated) with Business First. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Business First Bancshares has no effect on the direction of HMN Financial i.e., HMN Financial and Business First go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between HMN Financial and Business First

Given the investment horizon of 90 days HMN Financial is expected to generate 1.72 times less return on investment than Business First. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, HMN Financial is 1.1 times less risky than Business First. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Business First Bancshares is currently generating about 0.12 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,411  in Business First Bancshares on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  439.00  from holding Business First Bancshares or generate 18.21% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy43.75%
ValuesDaily Returns

HMN Financial  vs.  Business First Bancshares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
HMN Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Over the last 90 days HMN Financial has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly unsteady basic indicators, HMN Financial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
Business First Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Business First Bancshares are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively unfluctuating basic indicators, Business First unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

HMN Financial and Business First Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with HMN Financial and Business First

The main advantage of trading using opposite HMN Financial and Business First positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if HMN Financial position performs unexpectedly, Business First can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Business First will offset losses from the drop in Business First's long position.
The idea behind HMN Financial and Business First Bancshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.

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