Correlation Between Home Federal and Provident Financial

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Home Federal and Provident Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Home Federal and Provident Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Home Federal Bancorp and Provident Financial Holdings, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Home Federal and Provident Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Home Federal with a short position of Provident Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Home Federal and Provident Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for Home Federal and Provident Financial

-0.12

Correlation Coefficient

Home Federal  Provident Financial

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Home and Provident is -0.12. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Home Federal Bancorp and Provident Financial Holdings in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Provident Financial and Home Federal is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Home Federal Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Provident Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Provident Financial has no effect on the direction of Home Federal i.e., Home Federal and Provident Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Home Federal and Provident Financial

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Home Federal Bancorp is expected to generate 79.01 times more return on investment than Provident Financial. However, Home Federal is 79.01 times more volatile than Provident Financial Holdings. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Provident Financial Holdings is currently generating about 0.19 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,301  in Home Federal Bancorp on September 21, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (12.00) from holding Home Federal Bancorp or give up 0.92% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Insignificant
Accuracy	89.41%
Values	Daily Returns

Home Federal Bancorp  vs.  Provident Financial Holdings

Home Federal Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

Weak

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Home Federal Bancorp are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite persistent fundamental drivers, Home Federal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.

Provident Financial

Risk-Adjusted Performance

13 of 100

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Provident Financial Holdings are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly conflicting basic indicators, Provident Financial showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with Home Federal and Provident Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite Home Federal and Provident Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Home Federal position performs unexpectedly, Provident Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Provident Financial will offset losses from the drop in Provident Financial's long position.

The idea behind Home Federal Bancorp and Provident Financial Holdings pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.